We want to beat every hedge fund. Every decision is a gut decision.
The hedge fundsUs, according to the plan
THE RETURN TARGET
Wall Street. We’re coming on foot.
They have analysts, algorithms and offices with a view. We have an open packet of Fisherman’s Friend and momentum. The plan: outperform every hedge fund. First, though, we need to find someone for the next trade.
Artist’s impression of management’s wishful thinking.
The dataThe feelings
HOW WE MAKE DECISIONS
Excel says no. Gut says yes.
We trade consistently against data, guided entirely by emotion. An open packet? Character. Pink plasters? Emotionally undervalued. A stylish cigarette pack? We see long-term potential. Mostly on a shelf.
Our due diligence: “Feels right.”
THE STORY SO FAR
Every trade. Every questionable decision.
One night at a time. Every deal in order: given, received, traded on. Follow the links to see where each item came from and where it went. Open a card for the full story.
Night 1
The first night shift.
Two and a half terrible cigarettes, four trades and a surprising amount of generosity. This is where it started.
DEAL 01
Seed capital
Given
2½ hand-rolled cigarettes
Badly rolled. Unsmokable. In our view: seed capital.
The second Marlboro Gold was traded for a packet of Fisherman’s Friend. Mint, importantly. Already open and no longer full. Remaining contents assessed entirely by feel.
The story behind itClose the story · including a gift+
One plaster was exchanged for a tampon and a glasses-cleaning cloth. A very kind waiter at Piraniaglas in Cologne heard about the project and added a cigarette pack from Uganda. Inside: one last cigarette. Outside: a remarkable amount of style.
ALSO THAT NIGHT
Closing inventory: 5 holdings for the next round
1 pink heart-patterned plaster
1 tampon
1 glasses-cleaning cloth
Sportsman King Size
Fisherman’s Friend · Mint
These holdings are coming with us into the next round.
We’re starting with the five items left from night 1. No new trades have been recorded yet. The pizza is history.
Opening inventory from night 15 items packed and ready.Take a look inside+
1 pink heart-patterned plaster
1 tampon
1 glasses-cleaning cloth
Sportsman King Size
Fisherman’s Friend · Mint
THE STORY CONTINUES HERE
Next deal: open to negotiation.
When the next trade happens, its card goes here. Everything else stays in the case.
WHAT WE’VE GOT NOW
Nobody’s offered a Lambo for this lot. Yet.
What we still have after the latest recorded night. Traded items are out. Eaten ones too. Accounting insists.
HOLDING 01
1 pink heart-patterned plaster
Still in the portfolio. Emotionally well hedged.
HOLDING 02
1 tampon
A tangible asset with a clear purpose.
HOLDING 03
1 glasses-cleaning cloth
For a clearer view of the markets.
HOLDING 04A gift
Sportsman King Size
A pack from Uganda with 1 cigarette left. The packaging reads “Smoking and chewing tobacco causes mouth cancer”. A spontaneous gift from the waiter, not a separate trade.
HOLDING 05
Fisherman’s Friend · Mint
Open packet. No longer full. Mint is confirmed.
Illustrations of the items. The pack from Uganda is shown schematically.